Delaware River commission projects $22m to $38m/year tolls for $310m I-95 Scudder Falls P3 bridge
September 1, 2010 | Toll Road News

A traffic and revenue report puts potential toll revenues on the proposed new Scudder Falls bridge near Trenton NJ - the subject of a P3 or private concession procurement - in the range of $22m and $35m/year. If operating costs are a quarter to a third of this then net revenues would be $16m to $24m/year. That's a 5% to 8% return on investment. Little growth is projected. Given risks this appears to make it borderline for investors expected to come up with $310m or so to build the bridge.

Investor groups may of course see the numbers differently.

They come from a "Longterm Traffic and Revenue Report" prepared in March of 2009 by Jacobs Engineering that is only now being released by the Delaware River Joint Toll Bridge Commission (DRJTBC). The report is on the prospects for the Commission's existing seven toll bridges with a separate section on the Scudder Falls Bridge tolled (40 pages out of 92.) They call it a Level II (2) traffic and revenue study - without any description of what other levels are.

Toll collection was assumed to be all-electronic (AET) - a mix of transponder toll collection and license plate camera reads.

 Surveys identified likely types of traffic as mostly commuters, the rest being local recreational and shopping trips. There is very little long-distance trucking over this bridge. Close to 91% of vehicles are Pennsylvania or New Jersey plates - much lower proportions of out-of-state traffic than on the DRJTBC I-80 and I-78 bridges to the north.

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